Tuesday, February 9 2010 Updated at 8AM.

 
You are not logged in | Log in
Perspectives 12:00 AM
Monday, May 12, 2008
Latin Tobacco: Negative Outlook
RISING COSTS: Latin American governments can expect to see a continued rise in healthcare costs as smokers from the 80s and 90s continue to experience increasing health issues, the author points out. (Photo: Wilhelm Heinz/IDB)
      
Latin America's per capita consumption of tobacco will drop over the next four years due to new laws and increased enforcement.

BY JIM DALY

Countries throughout Latin America have been increasing the number of laws controlling labeling and public smoking. In the midst of growing health concerns and increased global pressures to establish and enforce tobacco legislation, some Latin American countries are strongly pushing new legislation as it relates to bans on tobacco, while others are making moves to expand previous legislation that was rarely enforced.

Much of this legislation stems from the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC). This enforcement comes at a time when many Latin American countries are recovering from economic difficulties requiring governments to focus on recovery and less on smoking regulation.

STRONGER LABELING RESTRICTIONS

In an effort to increase the population’s awareness of health issues that arise from smoking, many Latin American countries have instated labeling legislations requiring written warnings and images on tobacco packing. Labeling cigarettes as “light”, “ultra light” and “mild” has become a major target for cigarette packaging. Legislators believe that the “light” labeling can mislead consumers into thinking that the product is better for them than the alternative. Brazil has been at the forefront of tobacco control with one of the most extensive tobacco legislations in Latin America. Brazil was the one of the first countries to prohibit the printing of the “light”, “ultra light” and “mild” expressions on cigarette packages. Brazil was among the first countries in Latin America to introduce mandatory picture-based health warnings in an effort to dissuade consumers from purchasing the products. These labels, which cover at least 50% of the cigarette packs, boldly depict the consequences that one can expect from smoking and are used to display information about these health risks.

Other countries have followed suit.  In November of 2006, Chilean authorities placed their recently enacted tobacco laws into effect, requiring all packs of cigarettes to include health warnings informing consumers about the diseases and risks related to smoking on 50% of both their main faces. As an additional measure, all cigarette packs must include a list of ingredients and the messages contained on the packs are required to be approved by the health secretary of state. In Venezuela, the government requires a warning message that covers 33 percent of the packaging for cigarettes. These warning messages must be authorized by the Ministry of Health.  In early 2008, Mexico increased their labeling regulations by requiring packages to include specific unhealthy side effects caused by smoking cigarettes. In Colombia, a proposal for a law increasing the size and presentation of health warnings on cigarette packages is expected to pass in the latter half of 2008.

CHANGES TO PUBLIC SMOKING

Many Latin American countries are also stepping up their laws for smoking in public areas. Several governments have passed laws to curb public smoking in the past but are now making a real attempt to improve those laws and enforce them. In May 2007, Chile implemented requirements for restaurants and bars larger than 100 m2 to establish designated smoking areas. Mexico’s recent legislation on public smoking went into effect on April 1, 2008. This new law has been well enforced and establishments breaking the law are now being shutdown for non-compliance. Brazil has renewed its attempt to enforce previous public smoking laws. In February of 2008, Brazil proposed to end public smoking completely in restaurants. Argentine lawmakers have been making attempts to update past legislation on public smoking. They are currently considering a bill that would not allow designated smoking areas and eliminate public smoking areas all together.

Tobacco smoking is directly and indirectly responsible for a large number of deaths each year across Latin America. For example, in Brazil, according to the Brazilian Institute of Statistics, roughly 45 percent of heart attacks, 85 percent of emphysema, 25 percent of strokes, and 30 percent of cancer deaths are related to tobacco smoking. It will take a number of years to realize the full impact of enforced laws today to see future improvements on these rates. Governments can expect to see a continued rise in healthcare costs as smokers from the 80s and 90s continue to experience increasing health issues.

CONSUMPTION FORECAST

Latin American governments have seen the statistics on smoking-related diseases and the amount of money spent on them each year. As Latin American economies continue to recover and develop over the next few years it can expect to see greater strides in enforcement of underage smoking, smoking in public places, labeling and even contraband. The restrictions in advertising near schools and sporting events are setup to make a preemptive attempt to stop adolescents from becoming smokers in the first place.

Per capita consumption (sticks per person) is expected to drop over the next 4 years due to new laws and increased enforcement. By enforcing these laws, newer smokers will most likely cut back or stop smoking altogether. Even with the decline of per capita stick consumption there will continue to be a stronger growth in the unit prices (per stick) of cigarettes. These unit price growths are attributed to increased taxes intended to make cigarettes less attractive to consumers.

The FCTC was an excellent starting point for many countries and as more changes occur to tackle this global health concern, lawmakers in Latin America will continue to develop, expand and improve legislation related to tobacco bans as a way of ensuring the health of their country's citizens. It will be interesting to see the future outcomes of these decisions and how they will benefit these societies.

Jim Daly is research manager of Euromonitor International. He wrote this article for Latin Business Chronicle.

© Copyright Latin Business Chronicle

 

Post Your Comments
You can write a comment on this article by clicking here.

There are no comments on this article. If you wish, you can write one.

  Other articles in : Perspectives  
Argentina: Ten Reforms for Cristina
Reduce Chavez Oil, Help Latin Neighbors
Evaluating Nestor Kirchner
Ecuador: Keeping Up With Hugo
Brazil Tax: Uncertain Reform
Venezuela: Still Negative Outlook
Prosperity & Weak Property Rights
LatAm Finance Lags Asia
Haiti Makes Real Progress
Colombia FTA Next?
Dealing With Latin Populists
Cristina's Short Honeymoon
Flores: LatAm Must Fight For Freedom
Uruguayan Farce
New President, New Policies
Cristina and the U.S: No Change
Chile’s Energy Crisis: No Magical Solution
Latin America's Downside: Competitiveness
Costa Rica's Free Trade Victory
Bush: Free Trade Benefits US Workers
Latin FTAs: What Will Congress Do?
CAFTA's Impact On Costa Rica
Costa Rica & CAFTA: What Next?
Latin America: Good Outlook
What's Driving Brazil M&A?
Boosting Singapore-Latin Ties
Costa Rica’s CAFTA Choice
Is Ecuador's Correa Following Chavez?
Will Raul Reform Cuba's Economy?
FTA Failure, Chavez' Gain
Open Letter to Congressional Democrats
Global Outlook: Implications for LatAm
Exhausting Democracy in Ecuador
Improved Logistics Key For LatAm
China Safety and Latin America
Singapore: Latin America's Asian Partner
PDVSA's Grave Has Been Dug
Canada's Exports to South America Booming
Costa Rica's CAFTA Referendum
Latin America's Inflation Success
Dangerous Policies for Latin America
Latin America’s Energetic August
Brazil & Mexico Prepared For Contagion
U.S. Relations with Latin America
Nicaragua and Esso: What Will Happen?
Brazil's Crisis: Could It Happen Again?
Brace for Snapback
North American Summit: More or Less?
Sean Penn and Hugo Chavez
Argentina: Pack Your Bags
Banco Azteca & Brazil:  Good Outlook
Closing the Gap in Latin Infrastructure
Ecuador: Getting Ugly
Latin America: Adios to Market Reforms?
China, Taiwan and the Battle for Latin America
Brazil Auto Boom: Can Supply Keep Pace?
Brazil: Vivo Hurts Competition?
Latin America's Educational Challenge
After the IPO: Redecard's Outlook
Drummond: Charges Were False
Drummond Case: Effects on Latin Business?
Ethanol Push: Pork Barrel Boondoggle
Mexican Infrastructure: More Competitiveness?
Gustavo Cisneros: No Deal With Chavez
CFIUS and Latin American Companies
Hutchison No Threat to Panama
Canada's Renewed Commitment to Latin America
Argentina: New Energy Policies?
Cristina's Travels
Venezuela: In the Hands of the State
MiningWatch Response to Open Letters
Ecuador: Mining Reduces Poverty
Support Colombia With FTA
Kirchner: Nothing Lasts Forever
Venezuela Oil: Who Will Fill The Void?
Argentina’s Energy Tango
Ecuador Hurts Its Potential
Unfair Treatment of Colombia
Open Letter To MiningWatch Canada
After RCTV: End of Solidarity?
Middle East and Latin America: Same Errors?
Sizzling Brazil
Bearish on China, Bullish on Latin America
Mexico: More Media Competition?
Argentina: Waiting for Cristina
Venezuela's Trade Limbo
Costa Rica: A Real Business Guide
After Costa Rica: More China Success?
Latin America: Strategy for Competitiveness
Supporting Small Business in Latin America
Chávez Conditionality
China Undermines U.S. in Latin America
Brazil Corruption Scandal: Impact On Lula?
Argentina's Environmental Hypocrisy
Colombia: Bad Policy Decisions
Venezuelan Intrusion in Bolivia
Brazil: Nuclear Energy?
Central America: Common Ground
Approve Colombia FTA Now
Colombia Infrastructure Needs Attention
Improving U.S.-Mexican Competitiveness
Thinking Out of the Box
Brazil Wireless: Competition Continues 
Democrats and Free Trade
Argentina: Running the Clock
Mexico Needs China Policy
Ecuador Referendum and Business
Mexican Acquisition of TIM?
Neighbors Have Shared Responsibilities
Colombia: Construction Drives Growth
Argentina on Kirchner's Time
Latin America At the Crossroads
Two Cheers for U.S. Ethanol Initiative
Fiscal Reform in Mexico
Commentary: Price Controls Boost Inflation
Brazil: Anti-American Foreign Policy?
Latin Left: Authoritarian & Undemocratic
Venezuela Oil: Wiped Out!
Venezuela: Instability & Isolation
Argentina: Lessons for Ecuador
Colombia's Strong Business Record














 
 
Home | About Us | Contact Us
Developed by Merit Designs
Merit Designs